The only signal service that publishes its retraction log.
Real-time Discord alerts from 7 audited futures edges (NQ, ES, GC). Walk-forward folds, bootstrap CIs, look-ahead audit, **live broker P&L** — not screenshots. Every retracted "edge" we ever killed is public. So is every methodology bug we caught. No black box, no curve-fit, no retrospective marketing.
WHY US · NOT THEM
- Marketing claims, no published walk-forward stats
- Screenshots of cherry-picked trades
- No retraction log — failed strategies disappear
- "85% win rate" — calculated how? from when?
- No-refund policies + community-mod removals
- Every edge: anchored WF + 10k bootstrap CI published
- Live broker P&L feed — verify it yourself
- Public retraction log: orbFade, volprofile, NQ-GC, ORB and more
- 30-day money-back guarantee, no questions asked
- Auto-refund if our live broker account is net-negative for a month
- Cancel any time via self-serve Stripe portal — no contracts
PRICING
- Aramid Discord — public channels
- Live broker P&L feed (read-only)
- Public retraction log + methodology dashboard
- Daily summary of fired signals (next day)
- All 7 Tier-1 strategy alerts in real-time
- Discord #signals channel (paid-only, role assigned within 24h)
- Optional personal Discord webhook for direct DM alerts
- Methodology + retraction-log access
- Email + Discord support (24h response)
- Everything in Tier-1
- New edge promotions auto-included as they ship
- Edge Pipeline dashboard access (paper → prac → combine → funded)
- Premium Discord channels — #paper-track + #pipeline
- Paper-track signal alerts as candidates accumulate samples (rolling out)
Founding members get 30% off for life. Waitlist signup → manual onboarding while we validate Stripe billing infrastructure.
METHODOLOGY · NO BLACK BOX
Anchored walk-forward
Every edge is split into 6 anchored folds. We require ≥4/6 folds positive before any candidate is even considered. Our flagship priorHL × GC edge has 6/6 folds positive.
Bootstrap profit-factor CI
10,000 moving-block resamples (block size = √n). 95% CI lower bound must exceed 1.0. We use the lib's per-fold output, not happy-path means.
Look-ahead audit
Every signal feature must be computable at bar T using only data 1..T. We caught and retracted a $66k/yr "edge" because it used today's full-day volume in a backtest. Honest failure logs are public.
Live broker-validated
Every alert maps to a real order. Your subscription P&L is computed from actual broker close events, not retrospective bar marks. No "sim" gaming.
Realistic frictions
1.5-tick slippage per side baked into every backtest. $5/round-trip commission. No "zero-slip" fantasy stats.
Public retraction log
Every null result, every retracted edge, every methodology bug we caught is published. We'd rather be honest than impressive.
EDGES IN PRODUCTION
| Strategy | Symbol | Direction | Window (ET) | Validation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| priorHLContinue | GC | LONG | RTH (next-day after red day) | PF 2.09 · CI [1.39, 3.24] |
| mondayLong | NQ | LONG | Mon 10:00 | PF 2.18 · CI [1.13, 4.95] |
| nqWedEdge1300Dip | NQ | LONG | Wed 13:00 (after red Tue) | CI_lo > 1.70 · WR 73% |
| gcThuEdge1430 | GC | LONG | Thu 14:30 | ToD/DoW pattern |
| gcFriEdge1200 | GC | SHORT | Fri 12:00 | ToD/DoW pattern |
| nqFriEdge1430 | NQ | SHORT | Fri 14:30 | ToD/DoW pattern |
| gcMonEdge1100 | GC | LONG | Mon 11:00 | ToD/DoW pattern |
JOIN THE WAITLIST
Founding members get 30% off forever, ranked by signup order. We onboard manually for the first 50 members so we can talk to every customer.
FAQ
What's actually delivered?
A Discord webhook ping the moment a strategy fires its entry, plus a follow-up ping when it closes. You get: timestamp, symbol, direction, entry price, SL, TP, and the strategy name. You decide whether to mirror the trade.
Are these strategies actually traded live?
Yes. Every Tier-1 edge is currently deployed on a live PRAC TopStepX account via Quantower. The signals you receive are the same orders our daemon sends to the broker. PRAC = TopStep's "Practice" tier — it's a real simulated account with real fills, real slippage, real latency. The Edge Pipeline dashboard (Premium tier) shows real-time stage for every candidate as it progresses paper → PRAC → Combine → Funded.
What broker / platform do I need?
Any futures-capable broker: TopStepX, Apex (Tradovate), MyFundedFutures, Schwab, IBKR, etc. Signals are timestamps + entries — execution is on you. We don't sell auto-execution (regulatory + prop-firm-rule complexity).
Why the long retraction list?
Because most "edges" don't survive scrutiny. We've publicly killed L2 imbalance, ORB breakouts, GC handoff fade, V2 fleet, volume profile σ-imbalance, NQ→GC 5-min lead-lag, and more. The 7 edges that survive are the ones we couldn't kill. Our public failure rate is the moat.
Will signals fit my prop firm's rules?
It depends on your firm + account size + daily-loss-limit. Quick reference:
- priorHL × GC: SL = $1,200 per contract on full GC. Use MGC (1/10 size, $120 SL) on most prop accounts with $1k DLL.
- Time-of-day edges: designed for $300-500 max-loss per trade. Most $1k-3k DLL evals clear comfortably.
We don't promise it works on every firm. Tell us your firm + account size in the signup notes and we'll flag specifics before you commit.
Will you scale to more strategies?
Yes — but only when they survive the same audit. The promotion pipeline (visible to Premium subscribers) shows every paper-tracked candidate's progress toward live promotion. We add ~1-2 edges per quarter. Quality over quantity.
Can I cancel? What's the refund policy?
Cancel any time via the self-serve Stripe portal — no contracts, no calls. Two refund guarantees:
30-day money-back, no questions: within your first 30 days, cancel + ask = full refund.
Live-account auto-refund: if our live broker account (publicly visible at aramid-live.pages.dev) is net-negative for any calendar month, all active Tier-1 subscribers get that month's fee refunded automatically. We don't audit your trading — we refund based on OUR account's verifiable monthly net P&L.